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@Article{PicoliRoLeCāMaHoSa:2020:ImPuPr,
               author = "Picoli, Michelle Cristina Ara{\'u}jo and Rorato, Ana Cl{\'a}udia 
                         and Leit{\~a}o, Pedro and C{\^a}mara, Gilberto and Maciel, 
                         Adeline Marinho and Hostert, Patrick and Sanches, Ieda Del'Arco",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Technisches 
                         Universit{\"a}t Braunschweig} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Humboldt-Universit{\"a}t zu Berlin} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Impacts of public and private sector policies on soybean and 
                         pasture expansion in mato Grosso-Brazil from 2001 to 2017",
              journal = "Land",
                 year = "2020",
               volume = "9",
               number = "1",
                pages = "e20",
                month = "Jan.",
             keywords = "Soy Moratorium, Cattle Moratorium, public policy, spatial 
                         regression analysis.",
             abstract = "Demand for agricultural exports in Brazil has stimulated the 
                         expansion of crop production and cattle raising, which has caused 
                         environmental impacts. In response, Brazil developed public 
                         policies such as the new Forest Code (FC) and supply chain 
                         arrangements such the Soy and the Cattle Moratoriums. This paper 
                         analyzes the effectiveness of these policies, considering the 
                         trajectories of agricultural expansion in the state of Mato Grosso 
                         in three years: 2005 (pre-moratorium and before the new FC), 2010 
                         (post-moratorium and before the new FC) and 2017 (post-moratorium 
                         and post-new FC). Our analysis uses a detailed land use change 
                         data for both the Amazon and Cerrado biomes in Mato Grosso. In all 
                         the years considered, soybean expansion occurred in consolidated 
                         production areas and by conversion of pastures. Pasture expansion 
                         is influenced by existence of pastures nearby, by areas of 
                         secondary vegetation and deforestation. Our data and models show 
                         the effectiveness of public policies and private arrangements to 
                         reduce direct conversion from forests to crop production. However, 
                         our results also provide evidence that soybean expansion has 
                         caused indirect impacts by replacing pasture areas and causing 
                         pasture expansion elsewhere. Evidence from our work indicates that 
                         Brazil needs broader-ranging land use policies than what was done 
                         in the 2010s to be able to reach the land use goals stated in its 
                         Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the Paris Agreement.",
                  doi = "10.3390/land9010020",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/land9010020",
                 issn = "2073-445X",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "picoli_impacts.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "28 abr. 2024"
}


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